Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004352 0.004582 0.004818 0.005079 0.005359 0.005652 0.005981
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003905 0.004242 0.004603 0.005020 0.005489 0.006004 0.006614
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003624 0.004019 0.004455 0.004974 0.005577 0.006263 0.007106
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003396 0.003828 0.004314 0.004907 0.005616 0.006443 0.007493
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003289 0.003761 0.004304 0.004980 0.005809 0.006803 0.008103
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003160 0.003658 0.004241 0.004980 0.005906 0.007042 0.008569
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003031 0.003545 0.004156 0.004945 0.005950 0.007211 0.008947
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002890 0.003412 0.004038 0.004858 0.005922 0.007280 0.009190
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002772 0.003299 0.003940 0.004790 0.005910 0.007364 0.009453
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002697 0.003237 0.003901 0.004794 0.005988 0.007568 0.009886
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002554 0.003083 0.003739 0.004630 0.005835 0.007449 0.009854
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002496 0.003035 0.003712 0.004640 0.005914 0.007651 0.010291
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002482 0.003044 0.003757 0.004752 0.006138 0.008067 0.011071
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002401 0.002964 0.003684 0.004697 0.006129 0.008149 0.011355
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002331 0.002894 0.003621 0.004655 0.006134 0.008250 0.011671
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002258 0.002818 0.003547 0.004594 0.006108 0.008303 0.011911
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002236 0.002810 0.003565 0.004661 0.006268 0.008641 0.012627
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002192 0.002770 0.003537 0.004661 0.006330 0.008829 0.013109
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002139 0.002716 0.003488 0.004629 0.006341 0.008938 0.013462
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002072 0.002643 0.003409 0.004550 0.006277 0.008926 0.013605
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002014 0.002580 0.003343 0.004488 0.006236 0.008947 0.013807
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001981 0.002549 0.003322 0.004491 0.006295 0.009131 0.014306
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001899 0.002450 0.003200 0.004341 0.006110 0.008908 0.014057